Anaheim Offensive GVT: 9.6
Anaheim Defensive GVT: 3.2
Anaheim Goalie GVT: -7.5
Anaheim Total GVT: 10.0
Winnipeg Offensive GVT: 4.6
Winnipeg Defensive GVT: 7.3
Winnipeg Goalie GVT: 8.1
Winnipeg Total GVT: 20.0
Anaheim Ducks Strengths
While the Ducks did not blow the doors off of any advanced metrics, they managed to score, and score at very timely moments. They held a remarkable 33-1-7 one-goal game record on the season, which shows they have some success in playing tight games. They also have one of, if not the most, formidable scoring tandems in the NHL in Corey Perry and Ryan Getzlaf. The two are entirely capable of taking over a game, and potentially a series.
The Ducks, like the Jets, are a big team. The physical skill sets of players like Matt Beleskey or Patrick Maroon may come to the forefront in this series. They also have a good amount of team speed and solid puck moving defensemen to go along with it. The trade deadline acquisitions of Wisniewski and Despres have helped bolster what was a thin defensive group.
Anaheim Ducks Weaknesses
The Ducks were a middling possession team this season. While that did not seem to be a problem for them throughout the regular season, it may play right into the hands of a Jets team that loves to have the puck. While Coach Bruce Boudreau has tried to spread out his weak links up front, they do have a potentially limited amount of forward depth. Once you dip into the Ducks bottom six it starts to get a little thin. If the scoring is not coming from Perry and Getzlaf, where will it come from?
Maybe the biggest question looms in goal. Freddie Andersen has scuffled this year, ranking amongst the bottom ten of the 30 eligible starters in the league in adjusted save percentage (91.95). He also had a woeful 2013-14 postseason that probably lingers with Ducks fans. He and backup John Gibson are an apprehensive duo between the pipes at best.
Winnipeg Jets Strengths
Size and physicality. Coming into the season the Jets were ranked as the fourth heaviest team in the league, and the second tallest. They also come in at a crisp eighth overall in Corsi For percentage and 12th overall in Fenwick For percentage at five on five. They possess the puck well and play an extremely heavy brand of hockey to go along with it. On and off the puck they are capable of grinding down opponents with their physical brand of hockey.
Team defense has also been something that coach Paul Maurice has preached. With a five on five shots and goals against per 60 minutes rate that ranks at sixth overall, the message has clearly got across. You also have to like the depth of Winnipeg, who have legitimate scoring threats on almost every line.
Winnipeg Jets Weaknesses
With their aggressive style, the Jets were the most penalized team in the league. However, Anaheim had one of the weakest power plays during the regular season and Winnipeg wrapped up the year at a respectable 13th on the penalty kill. Still, putting yourself down a man that often is risky.
The Jets will be asking a lot of Ondrej Pavelec. Even though he had one of the best adjusted save percentages this year (8th at 92.93%), he has not had a consistent enough season to instill fans with confidence. The Jets keep shots against very low, but they will still need quality goaltending to push through.
Finally, while they do have plenty who can score, the Jets lack a real elite goal scoring threat up front. It is going to have to get done by committee. If a few players go AWOL in this series offensively it could spell trouble
This should be a doozy. You have the big, tough, Jets who predicate themselves on team defense and being hard to play against. On the flip side you have a somewhat run-and-gun style Anaheim team that loves to expose slower opponents. While the depth on Winnipeg is arguably better, the high end scoring provided by Getzlaf and Perry is always a concern. As cliche as it may seem, this series may simply come down to goaltending and special teams.
Overall, you have to like the match up for the deeper and more defensive oriented Jets team. If they can shut down Perry and Getzlaf while getting Pavelec to hold his nerve in goal, they may simply wear Anaheim down over the course of a seven game series. This one feels a little bit like the Kings-Ducks series of 2013-14. We all know how that ended.
Jets in 7