Home Unfiltered Articles Stats Glossary Contact Us
Hockey Prospectus home

Organizational rankings and top 10 prospects per team



rssOur Latest Blog Entries
12-20World Juniors 2014-Exhibition Games by...
12-10Mini-podcast: Real-life analytics (Col...
12-09Mini-podcast: Head shots 2 (Coller/Lev...

September 23, 2011, 04:12 PM ET

“Hockey Prospectus: A Must Read For All Hockey Fans”

by Timo Seppa

This page will be updated as new reviews come out. Last update: Tuesday, October 4 at 12:05 am.

**NEW: In-depth review of the Minnesota Wild chapter by Dan Shrader of First Round Bust**

Book Reviews and Other Mentions

Dan Shrader of First Round Bust put on his sabermetrics thinking cap for an in-depth review of the Minnesota Wild chapter. We’ll let you click on the link for Dan’s analysis on VUKOTA’s 30th ranked team, but here’s his summary:

“By and large Hockey Prospectus is easily comprehensible, even for a math dunce like myself; but moving forward there isn’t a need, nor should there be, for a line to be drawn in the sand. The traditional way of watching a game and diagnosing it, and the use of sabermetrics can be complementary moving forward.”

— 

A short review by Kevin van Steendelaar of Habs Eyes On The Prize:

“This handy 489 page guide, with info and projections on all 30 teams, 1000 players and a top-100 prospect list, is from the creators of Baseball Prospectus.

…I’m not one for relying on the stats to predict who finishes as there are so many other variables to take in, but it does go to show how fortunate last season’s Stanley Cup winners really were.

For those into advanced statistics, such as quality starts, Corsi and advanced face-off stats, this would be the guide for you with plenty or articles and tables to dig into.”

 

Matt Kalman at The Bruins Blog (and editor of the Maple Street Press Bruins Annual 2011-12) gives his thumbs up on Hockey Prospectus 2011-12:

“Advanced statistics are in their infancy compared to baseball, but in the great tradition of Baseball Prospectus a talented group of writers will once again bring you Hockey Prospectus this season…

I can attest that this is a handy tool for anyone interested in projecting how well a player will perform — for personal or fantasy hockey purposes — or to just nail down exactly why some guys seem to thrive or struggle in certain situations or on certain teams…

This year’s Bruins section includes an explanation of what makes Zdeno Chara great, what the Bruins’ great goaltending from last season means for the future and also breaks down which way the power-play will go after a lackluster 2010-11 season.

Slowly but surely GMs and scouts are starting to let analytics seep into their assessments of players. So this is your chance to get a jump on some guys in those position who haven’t gotten on the bandwagon yet. Hockey Prospectus is a great way to prepare for the 2011-12 season and an excellent companion to keep next to you as you watch the games all season long.”

— 

Lyle Richardson at Spector’s Hockey mentions us in passing, but positively:

“Very interesting. ‘Sabermetrics’ – the advanced study of player statistics – is gaining in popularity, especially among those who participate in fantasy hockey. I haven’t read Hockey Prospectus yet, but it certainly seems to be getting positive reviews from those who have.”

Since then, Lyle’s taken a peek at the digital download and he seems to be impressed.

 

Chris S. Roberts of Litterbox Cats offers his recommendation of Hockey Prospectus 2011-12:

“While it may seem like a daunting task to review the season of just one team while considering all the factors of success or failure, Hockey Prospectus 2011 takes on all 30 teams and 1000 players for a complete scope of the 2010-11 season. With concise writing and to-the-point reflections on last season’s performance, a talented team of writers summarizes the position and challenges of each team while establishing an outlook on the season ahead. While the publication relies on advanced statistics for much of this analysis, one doesn’t necessarily need a Ph.D in hockey metrics to find the insight valuable. If you follow multiple teams each year but don’t have the energy or time to watch the games and read the reports, Hockey Prospectus 2011 condenses everything you needed to know about your team into one quick read…

Detail certainly wasn’t overlooked. To be perfectly clear, the Panthers preview was the best I’ve seen thus far, I couldn’t have written a better one myself.”

J.P. at Japer’s Rink writes:

“Luckily for the rest of us (and to be sure, a great number of fine journalists who populate the in-betweens in this debate), there is a middle ground. And while it may seem odd to find a book deeply rooted in sabermetrics, Moneyball and the like there, that’s exactly where you’ll find Hockey Prospectus, an in-depth look at what happened in the NHL last season and what to expect in the campaign ahead.

To be sure, Hockey Prospectus has plenty in the way of advanced metrics. But it’s also incredibly accessible for even the most mathematically-challenged fan…you won’t be disappointed.”

You can’t argue with a book review called “Hockey Prospectus: A Must Read For All Hockey Fans“, can you?

— 

A Very smart guy Neil Greenberg–a weekly contributor to ESPN Insider–wrote up a great book review over at Russian Machine Never Breaks:

“Before Moneyball (the book, not the movie), there was Bill James…Luckily, Hockey Prospectus is there to carry the torch into the Moneypuck era…I even used their VUKOTA projections to draft in my ESPN league…And lastly, there are some great essays, including revisiting Corsi, Timo Seppa’s Ultimate Faceoff Percentage and how age affects a player’s development. The PDF version is $10 bucks (also available on Amazon) and is money well spent. Just think, you’ll be able to tell people “before Moneypuck, there was Hockey Prospectus.”

—  

Very smart guy Neil Greenberg–a weekly contributor to ESPN Insider–wrote up a great book review over at Russian Machine Never Breaks:

“Before Moneyball (the book, not the movie), there was Bill James…Luckily, Hockey Prospectus is there to carry the torch into the Moneypuck era…I even used their VUKOTA projections to draft in my ESPN league…And lastly, there are some great essays, including revisiting Corsi, Timo Seppa’s Ultimate Faceoff Percentage and how age affects a player’s development. The PDF version is $10 bucks (also available on Amazon) and is money well spent. Just think, you’ll be able to tell people “before Moneypuck, there was Hockey Prospectus.”

— 

Sabermetrically-savvy Josh Smolow at Lighthouse Hockey carefully examines VUKOTA projections of key Islanders forwards John Tavares, Kyle Okposo, Josh Bailey, and Frans Nielsen, in Part 1 of his look at Hockey Prospectus 2011-12.

For instance: “…with Tavares being projected for nearly a point per game, if Tavares was to play every game next season, an 80 point season would be right in line with VUKOTA projections.”

His overall assessment? “Hockey Prospectus released recently their annual for the upcoming NHL season.  It’s 9.99 for the PDF version, and I recommend you all get it.  Hockey Prospectus provides some of the best statistical analyses of the game of hockey and the NHL and their work is extremely informative.  If you were just interested in hockey in general, I’d recommend you buy the annual.”

Josh Lile over at the Defending Big D blog examined the Dallas’ centermen’s faceoff ability, using my new UFO% metric from the essay “No Advanced Faceoff Metric?” He came to the conclusion that “Outside of the duo of Malhotra and Kesler the Stars have the highest rated faceoff duo in the league based on last seasons UFO%.”

And we love seeing the overall assessment of the annual as well:

“UFO% numbers and stat explanation taken from Hockey Prospectus 2011-12. I can’t recommend the second annual edition enough. If you’re interested in this type of analysis I would encourage you to go here and purchase the PDF or print version. The PDF is only 9 bucks.”

George E. Ays reviewed the book today at Blueshirt Banter. He appreciated the insight in my essay of “Core Age and the Strategic Direction of NHL Teams” (thanks!) noting that the Rangers were ”not only getting younger, but better at the same time, a strong recipe for sustained future success”. Indeed, our VUKOTA projections have New York as “the 4th best team in the NHL, with a 98 point total that trails only the Washington Capitals, Buffalo Sabres, and Chicago Blackhawks.”

We’re pleased to hear George’s overall recommendation that “I strongly recommend the mere $10 minus a dime cost for anyone who wants to not only learn more about the Rangers, but all teams in the league, and the various statistical advancements that are improving by the day.”

It’s also nice to hear Blueshirt Banter readers chime in with their support. Rob L stated “If you’re going to see Moneyball in theatres today or this weekend, well the hockey statistical revolution is just beginning and these guys who produce the Prospectus are the ones leading it. To ignore these revelations would be backwards-thinking, in my mind.” And further: “If you play fantasy hockey you’ll want this because of every single player projection.” Great to hear.

— 

Our own Jonathan Willis chipped in with previews around The Nation Network, looking at how various publications projected various teams, like the Vancouver Canucks and Toronto Maple Leafs. And Calgary Flames.

— 

John Fischer of In Lou We Trust–who I always make a point of stopping to chat with at Devils’ games–was nice enough to plug the book on the website, as well as periodically on Twitter.

One of John’s readers (dkball7) added his own ‘review’: “Everyone who regularly visits this site should definitely download this. Tons of amazing content, and some pretty neat charts and rankings as well. I’ve only read 4 of the team write ups so far and honestly I feel as though I have already gotten my moneys worth.” Nice!

Speaking of reviews, if any of you really love Hockey Prospectus 2011-12, please feel free to review it over that Amazon. That would be greatly appreciated.

 

Media Requests

The authors of Hockey Prospectus are available for your radio or television show - to discuss our latest annual, Hockey Prospectus 2011-12, as well as to give an insightful preview of the upcoming NHL season (from a real or fantasy hockey perspective).

Contact Timo Seppa at tseppa@hockeyprospectus.com or at (860) 354-0846 for any media requests.

Also, please let us know if you’re interested in doing a review of Hockey Prospectus 2011-12 in your publication or on your blog. We’d be happy to assist you in making that happen.

1 Comment

  1. […] If you missed the earlier reviews, they’re here. And our earlier radio appearances are here. […]

    Pingback by Hockey Prospectus | Unfiltered — July 31, 2013 @ 9:18 am

RSS feed for comments on this post. TrackBack URI

Sorry, the comment form is closed at this time.