For a description of the methodology in these rankings, including the Projected Peak and Statistical Comparables (courtesy of Iain Fyffe), please see the Introduction. We'll be revealing more of the Top 100 every few days leading up to the 2011 NHL Entry Draft.
Full list of Top 100 NHL Draft Prospects
51. Jeremy Boyce-Rotevall, Left Wing, Timra-SEL
Jeremy Boyce-Rotevall can sometimes get lost in the discussion amongst the top forwards coming out of Sweden, but in international play he's lined up right alongside Victor Rask and Mika Zibanejad and didn't look out of place. He's an average to solid-average skater, who accelerates well and moves his legs very quickly. Jeremy's puck skills are decentI haven't seen him show any stickhandling prowess, but he's a fine passer and I have at times seen him flash above-average distribution skills. His shot mechanics are solid, he gets the puck into shooting position very quickly and I've seen above-average finishing ability from him. His physical game at the moment is fringe, but it projects as average when he's done growing. Boyce-Rotevall is an August '93 birthdate, so being behind in the growth department isn't abnormal. His work ethic towards the physical game is solid, consistently going to the front of the net on power plays, working hard in the cycle game and showing a little edge here and there. His work ethic translates to his defensive game, where he really hustles on the backcheck. Boyce-Rotevall doesn't really stand out in any fashion of the game, but has enough tools that can or do reach pro-average that he could be a decent prospect.
Projected Peak GVT: 3.1
Statistical Comparable: Michael Holmqvist
52. Shane McColgan, Right Wing, Kelowna-WHL
Shane McColgan came into the season as one of the top WHL prospects after scoring at a near PPG rate in the Dub at 16 years of age. He didn't come through on expectations, but he remains one of the most skilled prospects in the draft class. McColgan is an above-average skater who accelerates well and can dart around the ice. His puck skills are plus and he's very dangerous in open ice. McColgan has soft hands that can do wonders in open ice, and he also has the ability to thread above-average passes with relative ease. He has a solid shot, which he can really lean into and score from mid-distances. McColgan's major detriment is his size, as he measures in at around 5'8", 165 lbs. He does show great work ethic and a lot of grit to his game, but he's so physically inept that he can just get flicked off the puck by defensemen. To his credit, he does win an above-average amount of puck battles for a player his size, but it's nowhere close to enough to erase the liability. I'm also not impressed with McColgan's hockey sense, as his decisions with the puck leave something to be desired to the point I'd grade the tool as below-average.
Projected Peak GVT: 6.5
Statistical Comparable: Mike Sillinger
53. Daniel Catenacci, Center, Sault Ste. Marie-OHL
Daniel Catenacci, the first overall pick in the 2009 OHL Draft, has underwhelmed those who had their expectations set much higher. His counting numbers were notably good when you consider how bad the Greyhounds were, but an absolutely horrid Under-18 tournament left a bitter taste in regards to his stock. He's a 65-grade skater who can fly around the ice with solid agility and the kind of acceleration that lets him hit full gallop after a couple of steps. His skating drives his value and Catenacci knows itevery chance he has to take off with the puck and attempt to push defenders back he does. His puck skills are above-average to plus, with good coordination and quick, nimble hands that he can use very well in motion. His passes tend to be accurate and he can make some pretty good dishes. However, despite these impressive skills, there are quite a few holes in Catenacci's game. His hockey sense right now is fringe and despite his distribution abilities, he tends to try to overdo it with the puck too much and makes bad decisions. There are occasions, though, where he flashes top-level vision that it's possible that aspect of his game is fixable. His physical game is below fringe level, with a frame that's small, thin and lacks muscle. It seems every time a defender touched Catenacci he would lose the puck, or lose his footing. He still shows a notable work ethic in all zones and will attempt to get into the physical areas, but is overwhelmed instantly and likely projects as a winger at the next level.
Projected Peak GVT: 3.7
Statistical Comparable: Taylor Pyatt
54. J.T. Miller, Center, USA Under-18-USHL
J.T. Miller is a pro-level skater with a notable top speed, and while he shows good strength in his legs, when accelerating he doesn't always extend through with power which causes him to not get an ideal first few steps, but when he does he gets to top speed notably fast, so that habit could be coached out. He has solid puck skills, and occasionally flashed above-average. He has the ability to carry the puck up the ice and make a defender miss, and his distribution skills are decent. His physical game is solid-average which is seen in how effective he is along the walls, with good balance, strength and work ethic. Miller regularly throws his body around in both ends and at the Junior level, he was a player that could be physically dominant, but at the NHL level he likely will just be a player who is a tick above-average. The hockey sense for Miller is fringe, and it's what is going to hold him back from likely ever being a top-six forward in the NHL. While he has good puck skills, he simply doesn't do the right things when he has the puck and will regularly try and do an unnecessary deke, or attempt a stretch pass that never comes close to connecting. His pure hockey skills and work ethic could make him a second liner, but he likely won't be able to be that kind of player when the speed of the NHL game hits him. He is listed as a center, but played right wing in just about every viewing.
55. Lucas Lessio, Left Wing, Oshawa-OHL
If prospects only needed size and skating ability to be a first round pick, Lucas Lessio would go in the first and go high. Lucas is a true plus skater with very impressive acceleration and will be able to turn defenders around at the next level. His hands are solid to above-average though in viewings he seemed a tad uncoordinated but still flashed the impressive puck skills. I see him being more of a puck protector rather than a player who tries to deke through the opposition and while he can be a good passer, he suffers at times from tunnel vision. He has a solid shot and has displayed the ability to score from mid-distances. I like his physical projection as it stands and while he could be a tad better along the walls he does come out with pucks a decent percentage of the time. His work ethic and intangibles have been questioned by scouts and while in viewings he does occasionally take a shift off, I think his work ethic can be graded as below-average but not nonexistent. The main concern for Lessio is his hockey sense as he seems to get lost at times on the ice; his positioning is questionable especially defensively and he has a tendency to make some poor decisions. Whoever drafts him is betting on the feet and body and hoping the rest of his game comes over time.
Projected Peak GVT: 3.3
Statistical Comparable: Jason Jaspers
56. Seth Ambroz, Right Wing, Omaha-USHL
Seth Ambroz entered the season as one of the top 2011 prospects, but his season did not meet expectations. While that may have been due to the fact that he just physically matured earlier than the other 1993 birth dates, Ambroz didn't fall off the rails either, and the big winger has some things going for him. His puck skills are average, and while he isn't going to deke through defenders, he has the ability to pull up and make decent distributions as well as having the coordination to handle the puck in tight. Ambroz's shot tool is above-average and when he gets chances in the offensive zone, his finishing ability is notable with a hard wrister that he really leans all his weight into. His physical game is his best tool which projects as above-average to plus. Ambroz is notably physical on every shift, be it battles along the walls, planting himself firmly in front of the opposition net, or just trying to get under opponent's skin. He gets a good amount of chances and goals from within five feet of the net and it's likely going to be where he makes his living. His hockey sense is decent to solid-average and his defensive zone coverage is notable. The skating tool is what just kills his value as it grades as a 35 tool. He lacks acceleration and top speed and consistently is the last guy to the puck during one-on-one races. Also for a guy who really lacks foot speed, you would like to see him jetting effort-wise a little more to try and compensate.
Projected Peak GVT: 7.1
Statistical Comparable: R.J. Umberger
57. Shane Prince, Left Wing, Ottawa-OHL
Shane Prince entered his third OHL season without a history of being a significant scorer in the O, but that changed quickly as he piled up points right out of the gate although he did play on one of the top-scoring lines in the league. Prince has above-average puck skills, is able to executive notable dekes and passes very well, making quick, accurate dishes. His skating is above-average with his top speed having the ability to back defenders up, and his agility and edge work is solid. He is a small forward with a below-fringe physical game, which hurts him, as while he excels with his puck skills in open space, when defenders initiate contact with him he's not strong enough to stay on the puck. To his credit, he works hard and doesn't shy from going to the net or engaging along the boards, but he's not going to succeed at the next level doing that without a major increase in muscle mass. His hockey sense is decent; I haven't noticed anything significantly good or bad in regards to that tool.
Projected Peak GVT: 4.7
Statistical Comparable: Rico Fata
58. Stuart Percy, Defense, Mississauga-OHL
Stuart Percy made a mark this season as one of the most advanced defenders available amongst this draft class and despite a lack of above-average offensive tools, still managed to put up decent numbers. His puck skills are decent. Percy consistently makes the outlet passes on the mark, and on the power play he moved the puck around cautiously but effectively. His hands would grade as fringe however. He has a decent shot, and while he won't be scoring goals at a regular rate, it had enough velocity to bounce hard off a goalie's pads. Percy's physical game projects as pro-level and has a good chance to be above-average. His frame already has a fair amount of muscle mass on it, and he's very good in the physical areas, going toe to toe with even the strongest CHL forwards and standing his ground. Percy's best tool is his hockey sense and it grades as above-average. His defensive game is very sound, from his gap control to his in-zone positioning and his play in traffic. When he brings the puck up, his decisions are very sound and he very rarely turns the puck over. He's the prototypical defender of a low-ceiling backend guy who keeps the possession game going in the right direction. The only aspect of his game that will hold Percy back is his skating, as he moves at a fringe to below-average level and when he's consistently facing pro-level skaters he will need to back off his gaps much more.
Projected Peak GVT: 4.4
Statistical Comparable: Andrew Ference
59. Klas Dahlbeck, Defense, Linkoping-SEL
Klas Dahlbeck really emerged this season in Sweden as he entered his third year of draft eligibility. He's an above-average skater who accelerates well and is pretty mobile. His puck skills are decent as he can move the puck up out of his own zone. Dahlbeck's hands aren't exactly rocks either and he can bring it up at an average level, but won't flash anywhere beyond that. His physical game is fringe, although it has to potential to get to average. He's listed at 6'2", 195 lbs. but his frame looks a lot thinner than his weight suggests and he can look a little timid in the physical game, although he is moderately strong on his skates. He thinks the game at a solid-average level, and shows a notably advanced defensive game (keeping in mind he's a few months removed from 20 years of age) although he's more of a stick-checker than anything else. His skating ability lets him stay with his checks well and can provide more than sufficient play in his own end. Dahlbeck plays a pretty conservative game and doesn't get involved in the offense that much, so his ceiling is likely limited to a lower-tier defender, but he is also somewhat projectable.
Projected Peak GVT: 1.8
Statistical Comparable: Jonas Frogren
Ranking Explanation: I've been very impressed with Dahlbeck's somewhat advanced game, his defensive ability and his moderate puck-moving ability this season. He's a slightly above-average skater and despite the below-average physical game, he has the assets of a prospect I feel is worthy of this ranking despite the fact this is his third season of draft eligibility. He's another case of low offensive ceiling, but good possession skills.
60. Adam Clendening, Defense, Boston University-Hockey East
If you want a defenseman with high-end vision and passing skills then Adam Clendening is your guy. If you want a defenseman with numerous holes in his game beside those aspects, then Clendening is still your guy. Adam's power play skills and overall passing ability are a true plus tools and at times I've seen him flash plus-plus. He can make long stretch passes on the tape and he can do it at times without looking straight towards the recipient. He's calm and creative along the points and can be a pain for whoever has to cover him with quick one-time passes, heady shot and pass fakes, and good lateral mobility. However, Clendening still has a lot he needs to work on. His skating is fringe to below-average and I'm not in love with how his stride projects. His shot from the point lacks any serious power and he tends to hit legs whenever he lets it go. The physical game is fringe and defensively he relies on stick checking to stop players one-on-one although he will engage when the puck gets along the boards. I also question the hockey sense as while he has admirable vision, he tries to force the play too much and thread the puck in between several defenders.
Projected Peak GVT: 7.9
Statistical Comparable: Brett Clark
Corey Pronman is an author of Hockey Prospectus.
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